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JournalofHazardousMaterials59
Ž
1998
.
211–233
Mathematicalmodellingofaccidentalgasreleases
HelenaMontiel
)
,JuanA.Vılchez,JoaquimCasal,JosepArnaldos
´
Centred’EstudisdelRiscTecnologic
`
(
CERTEC
)
,DepartmentofChemicalEngineering,UniÕersitat
PolitecnicadeCatalunya-Institutd’EstudisCatalansDiagonal647,08028Barcelona,Catalonia,Spain
`
Received16April1997;accepted26October1997
Abstract
Theincreasinguseofnaturalgasentailslargenetworks,locatedmostlyinhighlypopulated
ore,anyaccidentalreleasesofgasthatmightoccurthroughdamagedpipesimplya
cases,thepredictionofreleaseflow-rateandtimeof
r,themathematicalmodelscurrently
availableforperformingthispredictionshowamajorgapintherangeofconditionsoverwhich
rmore,theydonottakeinto
considerationtheunsteadystateexistingwhenasafetydeviceisclosedafteracertaintimeof
paper,anewmodelisdevelopedasacombinationoftheclassical‘hole’and‘pipe’
models,forthecalculationofgasreleasesindistributionsystemsatmediumandlowpressures.
Thismodelcanbeappliedtothesetwocases
Ž
smallholeinatankorapipeandfullboreholes
.
X
Abbreviations:A,ParameterdefinedbyEq.
Ž
47
.
;A
c
,Areaofthecrosssectionofthepipe
Ž
m
2
.
;A
or
,
Holearea
Ž
m
2
.
;B,ParameterdefinedbyEq.
Ž
47
.
;C,Velocityofthesound
Ž
mrs
.
;foridealgases
X
Cs
Ž
kPMr
Ž
RPT
..
1r2
;C,ParameterdefinedbyEq.
Ž
47
.
;CPR,criticalpressureratio
Ž
-
.
;D,Pipediameter
Ž
mormm
.
;d
or
,Holediameter
Ž
mm
.
;F,FunctiondefinedbyEq.
Ž
45
.Ž
-
.
;f,Frictionfactor
Ž
-
.
;G,Massflux
Ž
kgrm
2
s
.
;k,Heatcapacityratio
Ž
-
.
;K
i
,Pressuredropcoefficientforeachfitting
Ž
-
.
;L,Pipelength
Ž
m
.
;L
e
,
Equivalentpipelength
Ž
m
.
;M,Molecularweight
Ž
kgrkmol
.
;m,Massofgascontainedinthepipe
Ž
kg
.
;Ma,
Machnumber,urC
Ž
-
.
;N
i
,numberoffittings
Ž
-
.
;P,Pressure
Ž
Paorbarabs
.
;P
c
,criticalpressure
Ž
Paorbar
abs
.
;Q
m
,Massdischargerate
Ž
kgrsorNm
3
rh
.
;R,Idealgasconstant
Ž
JrkmolK
.
;Re,Reynoldsnumber,
Du
r
r
m
Ž
-
.
;T,Temperature
Ž
K
.
;t,Time
Ž
s
.
;t
c
,Criticaltime
Ž
s
.
;u,Velocityofthegas
Ž
mrs
.
;V
P
,Pipe
volume
Ž
m
3
.
;Y,ParameterdefinedbyEq.
Ž
14
.Ž
-
.
;Greekletters:
a
,ParameterdefinedbyEq.
Ž
36
.
;
b
,
ParameterdefinedbyEq.
Ž
39
.
;
F
,ParameterdefinedbyEq.
Ž
47
.
;
r
,Density
Ž
kgrm
3
.
;
m
,Viscosity
Ž
kgrm
s
.
;Subscripts:0,Steady-state;0
sub
,Steadystateorinitialvaluesinsubsonicflow;1,Atthebeginningofthe
pipe;2,Insidethepipeandonalevelwiththehole;3,Atthehole;a,Inthesurroundings,atatmospheric
pressure;E,Regulatorinletconditions;i,Initialconditions;j,Anypoint
)
Correspondingauthor.
0304-3894r98r$htsreserved.
PIIS0304-3894
Ž
97
.
00149-0
alofHazardousMaterials59
(
1998
)
211–233
andalsototheintermediatesituation,licationtovariousaccident
scenariosisdiscussed.q1998ElsevierScienceB.V.
Keywords:Mathematicalmodelling;Gasreleases;Accidental
uction
Theconsumptionofnaturalgasintheindustrializedcountrieshasincreasedsteadily
an-combustioncharacteristicsanditseaseofdistributionatlow
pressuresjustifyitswideuse
Ž
bothforthegenerationofelectricityandasadomestic
fuel
.
,whichhasdoubledfrom1990to1994,resultinginaworldwideconsumptionof
2170=10
12
m
3
in1994.
Thisusehasmeantinstallingandmaintainingcomplexpipingsystemstotransport
anddistributegas,hese
facts,accidentscausedbythelossofcontainmentofnaturalgascaninvolvesubstantial
economiclossesandevenvictimsamongstthepopulation.
Polyethylenetubinghaslargelyreplacedthesteelorcastirongaspipeswhichwere
hylenepipehasseveraladvantages:itiseasiertoinstall,has
ndsof
kilometersofthispipehavebeeninstalledanditsuseisstillincreasing.
Gaspipes,whicharemostlyinstalledunderground,canbedamagedbyvarious
activities:undergroundwork,bull-dozers,eisapartialorcompletebreaking
ofthepipe,ituationcanbeno
morethananincidentiftheleakissmallorisrapidlydetected,orcanleadtoan
accidentdependingonthecircumstances.
Arecentsurveyof185accidentsinvolvingnaturalgas
w
1
x
showedthat,ofthetotal,
131werecausedduringtransportation,eitherbyroad,railway,
analysisofthesedataclearlyshowstherelativelyhighfrequencyofaccidentsinpipes:
tfrequentcausesoftheaccidentswere
mechanicalfailure,impactfailure,tthe
accidentsarisingfromimpactfailure
Ž
39
.
,themostfrequentspecificcausewas
excavatingmachinery
Ž
21accidents
.
,followedbyvehicles
Ž
5
.
andheavyobjects
Ž
5
.
.
Otherspecificcausesduetoexternaleventsweregroundsubsidence
Ž
4cases
.
and
sabotagervandalism
Ž
4cases
.
.
Intheanalysisofsuchaccidents,orwhenforecastingtheconsequencesofthistype
ofhypotheticalsituation,thefirststageistoestimatetheflow-rateatwhichthegasis
beingreleasedthroughthedamagedpipe
w
2
x
.Thisisacomplexproblem,whichinfact
beginswiththedefinitionofthe‘holediameter’:aparticularopeningsizemustbe
assumed;itcanbeasmallhole,alargeoneoreventhewholecross-sectionofthepipe
,theflow-ratethroughthisholemustbecalculated,both
forthecaseofconstantflow-rateandforthecaseofdecreasingvelocity
Ž
ifan
emergencyvalveisautomaticallyclosed,forexample
.
.Inthispaper,amathematical
modelisdescribedwhichallowsthepredictionoftheflow-rateofgasthrougha
damagedpipe.
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